Who are these 19% of voters who still think the Tories are the answer to anything, except the question: Name the most treacherous, spineless, intellectually challenged political party of modern times?
Assumptions: 25% never vote. Assign 30% to Labour, 30% to Tory, 10% LibDem with the remainder shared out.
From 47 million voters, 12 million won't. 35 million left. Historically 40% will be in Government. Boris got 13.8 million. QED.
Throw some spanners into the works. Wales 32 seats. Scotland 59. England Galloway says he's fielding 60 + 30 like minded. 181 seats, what will they do? 459 left. On current polling, 201 for Starmer, 91 Tories, 36 LibDem. Leaves 131 seats and Starmer needs 320 for a win. 67 seats are marginal, 5% below. Throw in the Reform spanner with and without Nigel. Assume pollsters have agendas and ask dubious questions. Assume the doorstep lies or changes its mind. I'm not compacent.
Boris Johnson had a huge mandate and was deposed by Sunak, who has been in Downing Street far too long, presiding over a potential disaster for the Conservatives. I don't suppose Boris would welcome a return to power at the moment but he could point out that Sunak was at the parties too...
And so the government declare a ‘migrant emergency’, and their solution is Rwanda which will whistle them back out the country at a snails pace a handful at a time; when The Commons and The Lords finish ping ponging the bill back and forth with their stalling tactics! They have no regard for this country and the people in it whatsoever; I am ashamed!
Who are these 19% of voters who still think the Tories are the answer to anything, except the question: Name the most treacherous, spineless, intellectually challenged political party of modern times?
We're about to find out what the Conservative Party's rock bottom voter support base is.
Indeed! 👍 And, who are the 44% of voters delusional enough to think that Labour are the answer!
Who were the 10.3 million who voted for Corbyn in '19? Looking for rationale in the electorate is a mug's game.
Time to separate the wheat from the chaff.
Assumptions: 25% never vote. Assign 30% to Labour, 30% to Tory, 10% LibDem with the remainder shared out.
From 47 million voters, 12 million won't. 35 million left. Historically 40% will be in Government. Boris got 13.8 million. QED.
Throw some spanners into the works. Wales 32 seats. Scotland 59. England Galloway says he's fielding 60 + 30 like minded. 181 seats, what will they do? 459 left. On current polling, 201 for Starmer, 91 Tories, 36 LibDem. Leaves 131 seats and Starmer needs 320 for a win. 67 seats are marginal, 5% below. Throw in the Reform spanner with and without Nigel. Assume pollsters have agendas and ask dubious questions. Assume the doorstep lies or changes its mind. I'm not compacent.
Boris Johnson had a huge mandate and was deposed by Sunak, who has been in Downing Street far too long, presiding over a potential disaster for the Conservatives. I don't suppose Boris would welcome a return to power at the moment but he could point out that Sunak was at the parties too...
And so the government declare a ‘migrant emergency’, and their solution is Rwanda which will whistle them back out the country at a snails pace a handful at a time; when The Commons and The Lords finish ping ponging the bill back and forth with their stalling tactics! They have no regard for this country and the people in it whatsoever; I am ashamed!