Three-Way Battle

Reform, Labour, Tories: the polls are narrowing.

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Three is the key number in British politics right now.

The Tory leadership race is down to three choices. We now know the next Leader of the Conservative Party will be either James Cleverly, Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick.

Will the new Leader have much of an impact? If you take the issue of the ECHR for instance, there seems to be no unified view.

The Conservative ‘broad church’ means the party is fundamentally split and policy consistently resembles a brittle fudge that nobody actually wants to swallow.

Another three to consider is the national polls now pointing to a genuine three-way Westminster battle.

Before I get to that though, thanks for the comments in response to my previous article from paid subscribers of Heaver News.

The always forthright Mrs. Bucket issued this challenge for Reform UK:

“The next by-election MUST be won decisively by Reform, it must shock and amaze everyone.”

Now that would certainly set the tone.

Whilst Lia gave this assessment of Tory leadership hopeful Robert Jenrick:

“Robert Jenrick is all valiant talk now, but empty promises. How come he didn't do all this when he was Immigration Minister?”

It is a fair point. Even Boris Johnson now talks up a referendum on the ECHR. What a shame none of this was actually done when they had the ability to deliver it in power.

Elizabeth’s response to that Jenrick query was pretty blunt:

“Because it’s just more lies to sound impressive and tough....just like the last 14 years really. Load of codswallop.”

Ouch! Though of course things for Labour are proving pretty rocky too. It has been a dismal start to Keir Starmer’s tenure in Downing Street.

Scandal, splits, internal rifts coupled with a steady diet of doom and gloom haven’t gone down well.

That is why three is now the key number: Labour, Conservatives or Reform?