The Big Switch
Reform UK are being boosted by former Labour voters.
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Good morning all and hello again to those of you who I saw at Reform’s East of England Conference last week, where the above photo is from.
As you might expect, Nigel was in good spirits as were all the Reformers in attendance.
That’s because is a huge change already underway. Many who voted Labour are disappointed and disgusted - with some already switching to backing Reform instead.
Before I get to that though, I must address the disturbing developments as far as this year’s local elections are concerned.
With some forecasts already having Reform picking up over 100 seats at the next Westminster Election, we were due to see the first big post-General Election electoral test on 1st May 2025.
It was all set to be a big moment. To what extent could Keir Starmer hold Labour’s support base together, now voters have had the chance to see what a Starmer Government actually means?
Could Kemi Badenoch make a sufficient positive impact for her party, desperately hoping for a recovery.
And could Reform UK back up impressive polling figures with nationwide Council seat gains?
Instead though, because of Labour’s devolution plans, many elections that are due to take place could be postponed at just a few months notice.
We await confirmation as to which elections across England will and won’t actually happen, which in itself is appalling so close to polling day.
But this cancellation could be on a very large scale indeed. Indeed it is already being reported that a whopping twelve Conservative-controlled County Councils will request to postpone elections as part of this local government reorganisation.
From what I’m told, there is also no guarantee that the delayed elections would then take place in 2026. We could even be looking at 2027 or beyond.
Given where the polls are, there is already growing suspicion that some Labour and Conservative politicians are running scared of Reform UK.
What will voters make of this potential mass delay of elections across England just a few short months before people were set to vote?
At the same time, we’ve seen Labour show just how out of touch they are once more.
Dismissing calls for a new national inquiry into the appalling rape gangs scandal as some sort of far-right bandwagon is pathetic from the Government.
The likes of The Times newspaper made clear via an editorial yesterday that:
“The public is rightly furious at the silence around grooming gangs.
“Only a new national inquiry can fully uncover the truth about this scandal.”
Already Nigel Farage has pledged that:
“If Labour do not to hold a full public inquiry into the rape gangs scandal then Reform UK will.
“We will appoint independent ex-judges and experts.
“There is an overwhelming demand for it.”
The Government’s appalling attitude on this shows they are simply not listening.
Nor are they listening to growing concerns on immigration. Consider these latest statistics from YouGov:
“70% of Britons now say that immigration has been too high - the highest since our trackers began in 2019.
“This includes 50% who say it has been ‘much too high’ - again, the highest level.
“Only 15% think immigration levels have been ‘about right’.”
As I’ve previously covered on Heaver News, post-election research demonstrated clearly that the chief motivation for Labour voters was to get the Tories out.
With that achieved, many Labour voters are already unhappy with what they are now seeing from Starmer and Co.
New research from More In Common has found that a quarter of 2024 Labour supporters already regret their vote.
And of that group, the top choice as to who ex-Labour backers are now supporting is Reform UK.
Interestingly the Tories are only third when it comes to Labour defectors, with even the Liberal Democrats ahead in second.
That so many former Labour voters are already switching directly to Reform speaks volumes.
The real battle is to who establishes themselves as the main opposition to a Labour Government that is already in free fall in terms of popularity.
Just 16% of the country now approves of what Starmer’s Government are doing, their lowest approval rating yet.
And the evidence so far is that those Labour voters disappointed in this Government want to see Nigel Farage as PM rather than Kemi Badenoch.
Thanks for reading! If you do appreciate my work then please consider becoming a paid supporter. Cheers, Michael.
Great report Michael. Musk's intervention on the rape gangs will claim a lot of scalps, this is going to wreck Labour: https://x.com/mahyartousi/status/1876414431237980216?s=12
Re the cancellation or postponement of local elections and, tangentially, the failure of local authorities many years ago to clamp down on the rape gangs: it seems to me that we might be getting close to the moment when the docile, ovine even, British public finally start to fight back. No Taxation Without Representation was the slogan of the Americans before independence; if the elections don’t happen we should be looking for legal ways to delay or refuse council tax payment on those very grounds. The argument would be doubly powerful in those cities(most) affected by rape gangs, where clearly the councils and their various stooges are at the very least morally liable for a good kicking.