Reform UK Deliver Poll Shockwave

Brexit voters are shifting decisively.

Hello all and welcome back to another edition of Heaver News.

I am delighted to welcome our newest paid subscribers, including Waine. Cheers for your support.

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You’ll also be able to join our community in the comments section. Thanks for the many comments in response to my analysis of Lee Anderson’s decision to make history and become the first Reform MP.

Stuart Mitchell/@IncMonocle

The forthright Mrs Bucket replied:

“Good news! Let's hope Lee gets a top job...as Spokesman on Immigration perhaps?

“And let's hope more good quality people are chosen as Spokespeople with specific portfolios. Then Reform might start to look like an opposition.”

As I responded to her, the rumour is that Anderson will be soon be on a Reform Red Wall tour.

RW52 gave their response to the defection:

“The momentum is gathering speed, who next for Reform?

“The Tories are really helping us with their stupid and outdated comments and actions. Onwards and upwards!”

Whilst Denis had this to say when it comes to the prospect of the next Conservative Leader:

“Suella Braverman is the only choice. With her they might win, without her they will lose.”

Braverman has certainly been proven to be way ahead of Rishi Sunak and his allies.

If the Government had listened to her on leaving the ECHR and stopping the appalling extremism we’re witnessing on the streets of London, the party wouldn’t find itself hitting record low support.

Indeed it seems to finally be dawning on many Conservative MPs this week that there is no real recovery under Sunak.

The Budget flopped. The PM’s speech on extremism lacked any urgency or concrete action. The boats are still coming. The rumours of more defections to Reform continue.

No surprise then that we now hear more letters of no confidence are finally going in against Sunak. Tory MPs have been far more patient with this PM than with Johnson or Truss.

But the Reform surge can no longer be ignored. I’ve long highlighted in this newsletter the potential for Reform’s support to grow ever more significant. And so it has.

A Conservative Government that talks a good game but ultimately delivers mass migration, weak borders and high taxes is one that has chosen largely to ignore the wishes of those who voted for them in 2019.

When it comes to Brexit voters specifically, I still don’t think some understand the extent of the backlash that has just been revealed.