Reform Making Gains
By-elections have underlined where the momentum is right now.
Another big week in terms of British politics.
Some will choose to focus on personalities and individuals.
That isn’t my style. I prefer to look at the big picture.
There’s no doubt that Zia Yusuf leaving the role of Reform Chairman is a big deal.
But across the country this week we’ve seen some huge election results that underline some key points.
Firstly, that the Conservatives are literally falling apart.
Whilst Kemi Badenoch is still attempting to portray her party as being the opposition, the party now can‘t even muster candidates for some local by-elections. That is dire.
Even now, the Tories refuse to simply say that the UK should leave the ECHR.
Meanwhile Reform are the main challengers to Labour, gaining several seats from Keir Starmer’s party this week.
Let’s start though with the Scottish Parliament by-election in Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse.
Labour pulled out a surprise win despite their candidate not taking part in the STV’s televised debate.
Indeed only the Reform and SNP candidates bothered to take part.
Labour’s 31.6% vote share beat the SNP’s 29.4% and Reform’s 26.1%.
To put that into perspective though, the Tories languished on just 6% and the Liberal Democrats trailed on only 2%.
It’s another classic example of vote Tory, get Labour.
If Reform can continue such momentum in Scotland then the estimate is that the party could be looking at a group of between 20-30 MSPs in the Scottish Parliament next year.
Whilst in West Sussex this week a local by-election saw the LibDems narrowly beat Reform 32% to 29%. The Tories were third on 20%.
So vote Conservative, get LibDem. Notice a pattern yet?
Meanwhile in Nigel Farage’s constituency, Reform gained a Council seat from the Tories. Reform got close to 60% of the vote.
Then there were two contests in Norfolk, where remarkably, the Tories didn’t stand candidates.
That’s right: as Badenoch seeks to present the Tories as Starmer’s main opposition, the Conservatives are struggling to even field candidates now.
In North Lynn, Reform gained the seat from Labour with an almost 50% vote share.
And in Fairstead, Reform gained another seat from Labour with the Conservatives nowhere to be seen.
Finally in Amber Valley, Reform gained another seat from Labour with 45% of the vote. The Tories did contest this one - and got 6%.
So yes, of course a lot of Westminster bubble hype will continue as it always does.
But look at the bigger picture here, what is actually going on across the country, and the political reality is clear.
Not exactly difficult to be winning when the pro-immigration LibLabCon parties are so utterly useless and corrupt. News this morning that under the 'Prevent' programme, anyone concerned about mass immigration is deemed a potential terrorist. It's the classic inversion of truth that Communists pushed on people in Cambodia in the 1970's - resulting in the killing fields and 2 million dead. Communism and Marxism are mind viruses, alive and well in our overpaid Civil Service.
To be fair to the Tory voters though if your views are liberal you're not going to vote Reform anymore than my conservative views would make me vote for a Tory Liberal Party. I wouldn't vote Tory even to keep.Labour out!!
This fight needs to be made by selling our policies and general philosophical views and not rely on vote Tory get Labour as that messaging style would never win me over either. You're either liberal OR conservative and they're philosophically polar opposite.