Making History

Record-breaking Reform majority?

Stuart Mitchell/@IncMonocle

I’m currently out of the country but couldn’t resist reporting on another astonishing moment in British politics.

Firstly though, allow me to thank so many of you for sharing and restacking my previous article, now the most read in the history of Heaver News!

Well done and thank you all. Please keep spreading the word.

And I have to say watching what’s happening back home right now is remarkable.

As ever the social media-obsessed bubble dwellers are getting sucked in by meaningless day-to-day controversy rather than seeing the bigger picture.

Some, hilariously, are even predicting that we’ve reached peak Reform.

That is simply at odds with reality, in a country that has increasingly given up on the legacy parties providing solutions to halt the UK’s sad decline.

There are some minor movements in this latest Find Out Now poll, with Reform on 33%, still way ahead of Labour on 17%.

But there is a huge shift beneath this. Who will be the UK’s third party?

Well, according to this poll it would be the Liberal Democrats.

That’s right: Kemi Badenoch is leading the Conservatives towards fourth place at the next General Election.

Indeed the Tories are now on just 14%, two points behind the LibDems on 16%.

How much longer will the Tories go on without another leadership challenge?

As for what this would mean in terms of seats - well it is incredible.

Putting these numbers into Electoral Calculus gives Reform an astonishing 436 seats.

The LibDems would come second in terms of the number of MPs on 58, with Labour trailing on 37.

Whilst the Conservatives would be gutted down to only 11 remaining MPs.

As Reform’s Zia Yusuf notes:

“This latest poll would give Reform the biggest majority in British history.”

It underlines how the major crisis in British politics certainly isn’t with Reform, who continue to lead by a distance.

But a Tory Party that promised so much but delivered nothing now faces extinction.