Conservative Plan Set For Disaster

Rishi Sunak's proposal is likely to fail.

Hello all and welcome back to another edition of Heaver News! As ever I hope you are all very well.

Allow me to start off by thanking Steve and Ralan for becoming the latest paid supporters of this newsletter. Cheers!

Thanks as ever to paid subscribers for your comments in response to my last post.

There is of course huge interest in Nigel Farage in the I’m A Celeb jungle. Nigel has been brilliant and I hope you’ve all been voting for him!

Zorro had this to say:

“I have some vague hope that Nigel has something up his sleeve post-jungle trip.

“I notice Labour are not attracting votes much at by-elections but at the same time if non-left people stay at home they'll win.

“I can't think of many Tories I'd vote for. Told my MP I'm voting Reform - barely raised an eyebrow.

“I wish a few of the bigger guns would announce a split or drive Sunak out but I hope in vain.”

Denis has given his outlook:

“I’m pushing Reform at every opportunity but unless Nigel and a couple of other heavyweights get involved it will come to nothing.”

To which Mrs. Bucket responded:

“That's depressing. Nigel needs to come back one last time but maybe we shouldn't rely solely on him, there MUST be some other punchy young people out there!”

It is little wonder there is increased support for Reform UK given the shambles we’ve seen unfold this week.

Rishi Sunak’s Rwanda Bill saw Immigration Minister Robert Jenrick resign, not able to support the approach being taken by the Government.

It remains unclear how many Conservative MPs will back it in a vote next week. If Sunak loses the vote, it could well fatally damage his premiership.

But how much credibility does his plan to stop the boats even have?

A Times report confirms the Sunak plan has at best just a 50% chance of success.

Stuart Mitchell/@IncMonocle

The reality is that the ECHR may well get involved again to block the Rwanda policy further - and yet the Government are refusing to ditch the ECHR.

No wonder Suella Braverman warned of electoral oblivion awaiting the Tories. The evidence is that that is exactly where Sunak’s leadership is dragging the Conservatives towards.