Braverman Tackles Euro Court, Migration Crisis Doubles & Election Over?
Suella Braverman's speech could signal direction of a Truss Government.
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Braverman Tackles European Court
Attorney General Suella Braverman certainly made a splash in the Conservative leadership campaign with her call for the UK to ditch the ECHR.
After the European Court’s intervention on the Government’s Rwanda policy, Braverman pitched her campaign around leaving ECHR to stop the illegal migration crisis.
Since then, Braverman has become one of the most popular choices of Conservative supporters when it comes to who should be in the next Cabinet.
With Braverman having endorsed Liz Truss, it would be a serious statement if Truss appointed Braverman as the new Home Secretary.
To get a sense of what that would signify, here is a small section of the speech Suella Braverman recently gave once again tackling this issue head on:
The rule of law and democracy are also undermined by the Strasbourg Court deciding matters of policy that should be determined by the democratically elected branch of government – i.e. Parliament.
She also pointed out how:
These issues are heightened as the Strasbourg bench of judges is composed by justices from continental legal systems. They are used to operating without a formal doctrine of binding precedent.
This means that their habit is to force the ‘right’ result in the case – even if that means straining the law – with less of a focus on how that case will influence future cases.
When coupled with the living instrument doctrine, the Convention has rapidly and unpredictably expanded.
And Braverman rounded off this section of her speech by saying:
In short, the Strasbourg Court has operated to thwart aspects of our domestic policy making in relation to illegal migration.
If the next Prime Minister is serious about tackling these issues, they should give Suella Braverman a senior role.
Crisis Has Doubled
The illegal migration crisis saw 28,000 people come across from France on boats last year and this year the numbers look set to be much higher.
As I have highlighted in the Brexiteer Bulletin, crossings are currently taking place on most days.
Yesterday, Nigel Farage again pointed out the scale of what is going on:
Just in case no-one noticed, 607 migrants crossed the Channel yesterday. The Albanian gangs are loving every second.
The number of migrants crossing has already surpassed 20,000 this year.
To put that into context, at the same point last year the number was just over 11,000.
This crisis has roughly doubled in size from last year’s record numbers and the Government’s solution?
A Rwanda policy that was announced in April and shows absolutely no sign of being implemented any time soon.
If the next PM doesn’t prioritise tackling this issue then expect the scale of this crisis to continue rising and for the Conservatives to suffer an electoral backlash.
Election Over?
Liz Truss has had consistent, considerable leads over Rishi Sunak in the Conservative leadership race, making him the clear underdog in this election.
But could the race effectively already be over? There are now reports that around 80% of Conservative members have already cast their ballots.
That would give Sunak even less of an opportunity for any sort of meaningful election fight back.
On that basis it looks even more likely that Liz Truss will be the next PM and if the polls are right, she could be set to win big.
The UK position with the ECHR could also be backed up with Germany's stance, where, I understand, that they only take ECHR decisions that affect German law as advisory only. Our lack of sovereignty in terms of our control of borders is beyond embarrassing, its a catastrophe.