Bad News For Sunak

The Prime Minister's ratings are continuing to tumble. Will Conservative MPs intervene?

Hello all and welcome back to Heaver News. I hope this newsletter finds you well.

Thanks so much to those supporting this newsletter as paid subscribers, including the newest paid supporter Eddie. Cheers and welcome.

As ever I enjoyed reading the comments from paid subscribers to my previous post on the Reform surge continuing even as Rishi Sunak’s Rwanda Bill was backed by MPs.

Stuart Mitchell/@IncMonocle

When it comes to the unelected House of Lords trying to water down, delay or even kill off the Rwanda Bill, perhaps it is on that basis that Sunak could try and call a snap election.

Then he would fight the General Election within the context of having his plan and wanting to implement it rather than on the basis of whether it has actually worked or not.

Clearly the role Lords may play - having already voted to delay the Rwanda Treaty - is on the minds of some paid subscribers to Heaver News.

RW52 commented that:

“It's all about momentum…another surge coming when the Lords reject the Rwanda Bill.

“Plenty more gaffs coming and the Tories are in a downward spiral and the GE isn't until November.

“The next two by-elections should be interesting...”

Meanwhile Hilary seems to have similar concerns about Sunak’s Rwanda plan and the Lords:

“Rwanda is over before it began, our country is unrecognisable as it is never mind how much worse it is going to get!

“The Lords will do their utmost to thwart progress and even though they can’t stop it in the end it will be challenged as always.”

Haydn isn’t impressed with the legal framework and restrictions countries now face:

“It is beyond belief and depressing to think that human rights can extend to allowing the destruction of other countries - the UK, Germany, France, Ireland, Holland, Sweden and others.”

As former Immigration Minister Robert Jenrick recently told GB News:

“Our membership of the ECHR is unsustainable. I think that will become clearer and clearer to the British public in the months and years ahead.”

The Government could have, long ago, chosen to come up with a proper approach to all of this.

It would have involved a wholesale overhaul of the UK’s strategy, ditching the ECHR and ensuring the British Government can act in the country’s best interests without facing restrictions and blocks from a foreign court or judges.

Instead, a lack of decisive action means that the Tories will not have stopped the boats by the time of the next election, as even many Conservative MPs slam the current weak approach being taken.

The question now is whether this extends to yet another Tory leadership challenge.

Not only are there two critical Westminster by-elections coming up in February, but a load of elections will also take place in May.

And going into all of that is the reality that Rishi Sunak’s popularity has just fallen yet again with some truly devastating figures just released.