The playing field has just been levelled folks. Don’t expect Labour and the Tories to like it.

Reform’s attempt to end the two party Tory-Labour system requires many things.

A big part of that of course is resources.

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Now let’s put this into perspective.

Since January 2021, the Conservatives have raised £150m. Labour raised £128m. Reform was far behind on £38m.

I say ‘was’ because over the weekend the game was well and truly changed.

The combined donations from Ben Delo and Christopher Harborne of £72m have just made this a fair fight.

Predictably, the establishment have gone absolutely nuts.

There’s now frantic Westminster talk of changing the rules. Even of regulations being changed retrospectively. Absolutely bonkers stuff.

This is what happens when a system is challenged by outsiders whose mission is radical change. Establishment meltdown ensues.

Another reason that Labour and the Tories are so concerned is that they both lost seats to Reform last week in local Council by-elections.

In North East Derbyshire, Reform gained a seat from Labour (whose vote share more than halved).

Whilst in North Somerset, Reform won a seat off of the Conservatives who actually slipped to third behind the Liberal Democrats.

So, where does this all leave us?

Talk of Andy Burnham calling an early General Election isn’t going away.

The Holborn and St. Pancras by-election is being used as a ‘test run’ for an early General Election, Labour sources have told The Independent.

I still think an early election is likely. And Labour can expect real competition from Reform.

Need further proof? I’ll leave you with this.

Survation’s latest Westminster survey for Wales reveals a fascinating landscape.

Reform actually have a 10-point lead on 31%, with Plaid Cymru in second.

But compared with the 2024 General Election, Labour are down 18 points to 19% and the Tories down 5 to just 13%.

No wonder they’re so rattled.

We cannot go on like this.

Despite having had years now to stop the illegal migrant boats, both Tory and Labour Governments have simply refused to do what is necessary.

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The public are getting increasingly sick and tired of this. We’ve now seen evidence of that in Portsmouth as well.

This system is fundamentally unfair and is costing the country a fortune. No wonder people are beyond frustrated.

We now learn from a Home Office whistleblower that only one in one hundred asylum claims are genuine.

This is the grotesque system that has been constructed and has spun out of all control.

No wonder then that immigration and border policy is now the number one issue for the public:

“The August 2026 Ipsos Issues Index shows that immigration continues to be seen as the biggest issue facing Britain.

“Forty-two per cent of Britons name immigration as an important issue facing the country, relatively unchanged since last month.”

Yes to confirm, immigration is now viewed as the number one issue facing Britain, even ahead of the economy:

“Concern about immigration remains particularly high among Reform UK (81%) and Conservative (54%) supporters, those aged 55+ (52%) and people in social grades C2DE (47%).

“The economy remains the second-biggest issue facing Britain for August, mentioned by 32% of Britons and up two percentage points since July. Inflation is the third-biggest concern at 21%, while the NHS is fourth on 20%.”

As ever, problems can be solved. Broken Britain can be fixed.

I was at the Reform Conference in Birmingham where we saw what a plan to stop this madness actually looks like.

France’s Jordan Bardella - who has a good chance of soon becoming French PM - gave a tremendous speech.

He also signed a Memorandum of Understanding alongside Nigel Farage that gives a solid insight as to how the boats will actually be finally stopped:

“It commits a future National Rally-led French government to accept the return of illegal migrants who launch from French shores, enter British territorial waters and are returned to France.

“The agreement would support Reform UK’s proposed Operation Fortress, under which the Royal Navy and Royal Marines would intercept small boats, remove everyone on board, and return those attempting to reach the UK illegally to France.”

This is the sort of actual plan the country is crying out for.

Because what we’re seeing right now is unacceptable. And it has been for years.

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The Government try and spin that the situation is being dealt with. It isn’t. Another 16,000 people have already been allowed to cross this year.

That means 209,000 have been allowed to cross illegally from France to England on boats under Labour and Tory Governments.

It simply cannot go on.

So Parliament returns and finally Andy Burnham will receive proper scrutiny.

The problem for Labour is, pollsters agree with me: the Burnham bounce is already over.

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And so before what is likely to be yet another Labour budget that delivers more damaging tax rises, Burnham’s party is already in a spot of bother.

Yes, Labour’s support has certainly recovered a bit since being led by the most unpopular PM ever in Keir Starmer.

But the boats keep coming. Energy prices are still rising. And high taxes are still crushing the economy.

It means that Burnham’s honeymoon period has come to an end pretty sharpish.

Indeed the vibes in Westminster are that the new PM could still call an early General Election as things are likely to get worse for Labour in the near future.

Graduate job vacancies have plunged by close to 50% in a year. Those being given the right to live in the UK just rose to a 16-year high. And all this at a time when nearly 1.3 million migrants are already now claiming Universal Credit.

The situation is fundamentally unfair, with workers and businesses in this country punished and squeezed to breaking point.

Yet it takes us to a point now where as Parliament returns, Labour have already fallen behind Reform again.

This is the reality of the political battle now raging.

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Yes, even in London.

As Andy Burnham’s Labour go on with more radical changes they have no mandate for - the latest being Mayors given powers to overrule local Councils on major planning decisions - the country’s political shift continues.

Much of the lefty narrative is that everything is fine in London, that crime isn’t rampant and that the battle in the capital city is between Labour and the Greens.

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In fact the reality now is that most Londoners feel they are living in a state of decline, most don’t want Sadiq Khan to stand again for Mayor and Labour’s main challenger, even in London, is now Reform.

That doesn’t suit the lefty narrative of course - but this is what’s really happening. Even in London!

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That didn’t last long.

It’s why I’ve thought Andy Burnham will either go early with a General Election - this year or possibly next year - or hang on until the bitter end.

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Nothing in the middle would surely make sense for Labour, as their endless tax hikes continue to destroy the economy. I still think they’re more likely to g…

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22,239.

It is pretty remarkable that Nigel Farage just received more votes in Clacton than at the last General Election, despite the establishment running away from the by-election.

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Indeed the turnout still hit 44% even with the old legacy parties boycotting the vote completely.

Does anyone seriously think that Kemi Badenoch’s Conservative Party would h…

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The Burnham bounce, a Badenoch bounce?

Neither were on display at a series of local Council by-elections last week.

In fact the media narrative of what’s happening right now was completely at odds with how people actually voted.

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The idea that a huge Labour comeback or a Tory recovery are underway was not apparent at all across various actual votes we’ve just seen take place.

Already we’ve seen Reform overtake Burnham’s Labour in one national YouGov poll.

And these results suggest the media narrative of bounces and comebacks may be slightly premature.

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Absolute madness.

At least 60,000 people crossed into the Spanish territory of Ceuta in a single day.

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This mayhem has shocked Europe - and comes following the left-wing Spanish Government’s decision to offer an amnesty to those in the country illegally.

That process has seen 1.2million people apply already.

But it also clearly sent out a message and the end result was complete bedlam.

The response across Europe was clear. France’s Jordan Bardella addressed the crisis by saying:

“By regularizing hundreds of thousands of undocumented immigrants, Spain's socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez has opened the doors of Europe to all dangers.

“The result is clear: for several days now, thousands of migrants have been flooding into the Ceuta enclave. Tomorrow, they will be on our streets, against the will of the French people. The Government must urgently strengthen controls at the land border with Spain.

“In power, we will defend a reform of Schengen limiting free movement to European citizens only, and we will expel undocumented immigrants: it is time to send the signal that France and Europe no longer accept mass immigration.”

Whilst Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni announced that:

“The Government has decided to temporarily suspend the free movement regime provided for by Schengen in maritime and air connections with Spain, reintroducing border controls.

”This is an extraordinary measure, adopted to safeguard national security and prevent possible repercussions for our Nation.

“The measure will be kept in force only for the time necessary, with particular attention to limiting any impact on summer tourist flows. In parallel, Italy is ready to support every European initiative to assist Spanish institutions as needed to restore full control of the Union's external borders and to address the ongoing situation with determination.

”Defending borders means defending the safety of citizens, combating irregular immigration, and striking at the criminal networks that traffic human beings.”

In terms of Britain, it is crazy that Andy Burnham became Prime Minister without real scrutiny as to any kind of plan on border security.

Immigration remains the number one issue in this country. As Ipsos recently confirmed:

“The July 2026 Ipsos Issues Index shows that immigration continues to be seen as the top issue facing Britain, with the economy in second place and the NHS and inflation both third.

“Fieldwork took place between 1 and 8 July, before the appointment of Andy Burnham as UK Prime Minister.

“Forty-three per cent of Britons identify immigration as a key concern, an increase of four percentage points since June and the highest percentage recorded this year, although 41% were also concerned in January, February and May.

“The economy remains second on 30%, although this represents a seven-percentage-point drop since June and is the lowest score for this issue since July 2025 (also 30%).”

So what’s next? Well there is now a proper debate underway as to how the madness of the illegal migrant boats can be stopped.

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It was expected to happen. And now it has.

Andy Burnham, with absolutely no mandate to do so, has been busy making all sorts of expensive pledges.

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The end result has been a bounce for Labour in the polls.

This was entirely expected of course.

New Leaders and Prime Ministers often enjoy a honeymoon period of optimistic support from the public.

I doubt this will last too long for Burnham. Especially when his Government have to start explaining how they’re actually going to fund any of their plans.

Further tax rises appear inevitable. That would be appalling given the extent to which workers and businesses are already being punished.

Our economy increasingly squeezes those who work hard to fund an exploding welfare bill, foreign aid splurges and an illegal migrant accommodation industry.

By the way, just to give you an idea as to how little Labour have actually done to stop the boats, here’s what has happened in recent days.

On 22nd July, 172 people crossed from France to England on 3 boats.

The next day saw 366 cross on another 3 boats. You’ll notice these boats aren’t so small anymore.

On 24th July, 103 more people crossed on a pair of boats.

And on 25th July, another 240 came across on five boats.

So this crisis hasn’t been stopped. Not even close. The Government simply aren’t willing to do what is necessary to stop it.

And yet Burnham’s early honeymoon bounce in the polls is undeniable.

Here’s what’s happened - and why an early election could still well be on, no matter what the Prime Minister currently says.

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Hear me out.

Yes I know lots of you will be thinking that Andy Burnham will now inevitably try and cling on until the last possible moment.

Of course a 2029 General Election could well be what we get.

But I still think there is a good chance that Burnham will go early. And there’s increasing evidence pointing to this possibility.

Remember, Burnham came i…

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It is a shocking legacy.

Keir Starmer proved that Labour had no real plan for power.

Despite commanding a huge parliamentary majority, Labour chose to continue with the Tory legacy.

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The illegal migrant boats have kept coming. Net Zero has continued to deliver higher energy prices. Workers and businesses have been punished more and more with even higher tax…

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It has been a devastating few days.

A national icon, a truly incredible lady, and such a tragic end.

When the news first broke of Ann Widdecombe’s death, I was of course sad.

But when it was then announced that a murder investigation had been launched, I became angry that someone could have harmed a sweet 78-year-old lady.

I briefly got to spend just a bi…

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So he’s taken back control.

Instead of a constant drip drip of media speculation, Nigel Farage has triggered a Clacton by-election.

It’s one he intends to stand in - but the other parties have bottled it.

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I find it absolutely fascinating that the Tories and Labour have such little confidence in themselves - or respect for the electorate - that they’ve sa…

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As the establishment try and destroy Nigel Farage, something else quite astonishing is happening.

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Our country is about to have a new Labour Leader and Prime Minister who will take over unchallenged, in a bizarre coronation.

Andy Burnham has already made a speech with a whole series of commitments that weren’t in Labour’s last manifesto.

And yet as we quickly approach the point of a new PM taking over, there remains little scrutiny of Burnham’s actual plans.

So we are about to have a new Prime Minister, Chancellor and Government take over with no mandate whatsoever, of whom we still know little.

Instead of scrutinising that profound change, there is an intense focus on Reform Leader Nigel Farage. Ask yourself why.

But even as the establishment give him an easy ride, Andy Burnham has a huge problem.

Voters clearly reject his legitimacy as our future Prime Minister. The UK wants a General Election instead.

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It’s clear what they’re trying to do.

Terrified by Reform UK’s dominance of the national polls, we’re seeing a sustained attempt to try and destroy Nigel Farage.

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It won’t work. These sort of smear campaigns rarely do.

Of course the country needs radical change. The cowardly Tories refused to leave the ECHR when they had the ch…

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Keir Starmer won’t be Prime Minister for much longer, with Andy Burnham set to take over.

But Starmer’s shocking legacy is ending on a pretty disturbing note.

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It has been reported that Burnham, set to become Prime Minister in a Labour coronation, won’t be taking questions after his speech today.

As GB News Political Editor, Christopher Hope, has pointed o…

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It speaks to the scale of Keir Starmer’s failure that he’s announced his resignation less than two years after Labour won 411 seats at the last General Election.

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In 2026, the latest polling from Find Out Now actually has Labour now fourth on just 15%. A spectacularly damning verdict.

Labour have simply copied the Tory model in office: no real plan, high …

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Well, Andy Burnham has done it.

The Greater Manchester Mayor has won the Makerfield by-election. And this will now have huge consequences for the country.

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Burnham scored close to 55% of the vote, with Reform UK second on 34% and Restore Britain third on just under 7%.

Keir Starmer meanwhile seems increasingly delusional. Does he really believe that he c…

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I’m very fortunate to have so many loyal readers of Heaver News and viewers of my YouTube Channel.

I really enjoy doing it all and it is a real sign of the times that I’m even able to do this.

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Many others are now too, with virtually every industry and niche covered on Substack and YouTube nowadays.

Power continues to drain from the likes of the BBC, and t…

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It’s all getting more and more pathetic. Even Labour MPs can no longer bring themselves to support this Government.

Keir Starmer’s big parliamentary majority won at the last General Election has overseen a shocking legacy in power.

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Taxes whacked up. Workers and businesses punished. The welfare bill exploding. Illegal migrant boats continuing to cross. A…

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